Publish Date
Mar 24, 2023
Industry Insights
On March 9th, the Biden Administration submitted its fiscal year 2024 budget recommendation to Congress, primarily recycling or tweaking previously defeated proposals to increase taxes on corporations and wealthy individuals and ensure large multinational companies pay a minimum tax in the jurisdictions in which they operate. Coupled with “new” proposals (relative to last year’s budget) to curtail tax avoidance and increase a myriad of tax rates, the Administration would raise approximately $4.7 trillion in revenue. With a divided government, tax reform legislation is unlikely, but the relevance of specific line items could escalate during negotiations for some must-pass legislation this year. Further, the proposed revenue raisers remain as potential sources for lawmakers for years to come. As Republicans prepare their response in the coming months, we thought it might be helpful to recap selected proposals detailed in Treasury’s “General Explanations of the Administration’s Fiscal Year 2024 Revenue Proposals” (the “Green Book”) and share some perspectives.
Because the revenue raisers in the Green Book include many items from prior years, our previous alerts may also be helpful, such as those discussing the Biden Administration’s fiscal year 2022 budget, its 2023 budget, and the Build Back Better Act (BBBA) as passed by the House of Representatives.
In this alert, we highlight some of the proposals in the following categories:
A&M Insight: Unlike last year’s Green Book, the 2024 budget includes proposals from the Obama Administration targeting transactions that reduce earnings and profits or otherwise avoid dividend treatment. Although it is uncertain whether any specific corporate tax changes might gain momentum, companies should keep an eye on the proposals and assess the potential business planning and tax implications. While increasing corporate income taxes is a nonstarter with a Republican-controlled House, it is less clear whether Republicans might entertain other changes, such as increasing the 1% tax on share repurchases, if an appropriate deal could be made. The new provision effective this year is fraught with implementation challenges, with taxpayers awaiting more guidance, but merely increasing the percentage becomes an easy way to raise revenues.
A&M Insight: Migrating to the Pillar 2 rules would increase tax costs and create significant compliance burdens for multinational companies. For example, the adoption of Pillar 2, without repealing the 15% corporate alternative minimum tax enacted by the 2022 Inflation Reduction Act, would require taxpayers to navigate both rules and maintain an additional set of books. Taxpayers, however, would welcome the proposals for allowing foreign tax credit and net operating loss carryovers under the GILTI rules. While Democrats remain committed to adopting Pillar 2, the Republicans have remained skeptical on the effects on U.S. competitiveness, reducing the likelihood of new legislation in the near term. Even if the U.S. does not adopt Pillar 2, its wide-spread adoption by other countries is likely to entail substantial compliance costs for U.S.-based multinationals and foreign-based multinationals with U.S. subsidiaries. Companies should monitor Pillar 2 developments worldwide and model potential scenarios based on how the U.S. might apply its global minimum tax.
A&M Insight: Republicans, and some Democrats, strongly oppose tax increases on individuals and taxing unrealized capital gains, making many of the proposals unlikely, unless they might consider in a quid pro quo deal some means of raising taxes on extremely wealthy individuals. Therefore, monitoring the developments during budget negotiations remains important for high-net-worth individuals.
A&M Insight: The above provisions mirror the proposals in last year’s Green Book, with the most significant revenue raiser being the prevention of abusive basis-shifting transactions, which is estimated to raise approximately $64 billion over 10 years. For real estate businesses and their investors, it will be important to keep an eye on the proposals to change depreciation recapture and like-kind exchange rules and be prepared to model scenarios and potential effects. With the heightened focus on digital assets amid the current turmoil affecting the U.S. financial system, taxpayers should expect more legislation and regulations.
Significant uncertainty exists as to which tax reform proposals might advance in must-pass legislation in a divided government, with the Democrats offering tax and spend proposals while the Republicans are aiming for substantial spending cuts and to make tax cuts permanent. The revenue raisers, old and new, will also spur debate on the campaign trail, making them relevant beyond the current budget cycle. We will continuously monitor and analyze the forthcoming Republican proposals and subsequent developments, particularly proposed legislation that is more likely to advance. If you would like to discuss how different tax reform proposals could affect your business and tax planning, please reach out to Kevin M. Jacobs of our National Tax Office.
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